Back in the Spring, there was a surge in Canterbury
landlords buying Buy-to-Let property in Canterbury as they tried to beat George
Osborne’s new stamp duty changes which kicked in on the 1st April 2016. To give
you an idea of the sort of numbers we are talking about, below are the property
statistics for sales either side of the deadline in CT1.
Jan 2016 – 47 properties sold
Feb 2016 – 56 properties sold
March 2016 – 84 properties sold
April 2016 – 24 properties sold
May 2016 – 23 properties sold
Normally, the number of sales in the Spring months is very
similar, irrespective of the month. However, as one can see, this year was a
completely different picture as landlords moved their purchases forward to beat
the stamp duty increase. You would think that even with a basic knowledge of
supply and demand economics, rents would be affected in a downwards direction?
However, there appears to be no apparent effect on the levels
of rent being asked in Canterbury - and more importantly achieved - and this direction
of rents is not likely to inverse any time soon, particularly as legislation
planned for 2017 might reduce rental stock and push property values ever upward.
The decline of Buy-to-Let mortgage interest tax relief will make some properties
lossmaking, forcing landlords to pass on costs to tenants in the form of higher
rents just to stay afloat. Even those who can still operate may be deterred
from making further investments, reducing rental stock at a time of severe
property shortage.
.. but it’s not all bad news for tenants. Whilst average
rents in Canterbury since 2005 have increased by 22.6%, inflation has been
38.5% over the same time frame, meaning Canterbury tenants are 15.9% better off
in real terms when it comes to their rent (which is a sizeable chunk of most
people’s monthly household budgets)
Year
|
Average Rent in Canterbury per month
|
2005
|
1016
|
2006
|
1039
|
2007
|
1062
|
2008
|
1098
|
2009
|
1114
|
2010
|
1099
|
2011
|
1126
|
2012
|
1151
|
2013
|
1168
|
2014
|
1185
|
2015
|
1212
|
2016
|
1246
|
I found it particularly interesting looking at the rent
rises over the last five years in Canterbury, as it was five years ago we
started to see the very early green shoots of growth of the Canterbury economy.
As a whole, following the Credit crunch (2011),
rents in Canterbury have risen by an average of 2.4% a year – fascinating don’t
you think?
The view I am trying to portray is that while renting is
often portrayed as the unfavorable alternative to home ownership, many young Canterbury
professionals like renting as it gives them adaptability with their life. Rents
will continue to rise which is good news for landlords as buy to let is an
investment but, as can be seen from the statistics, tenants have also had a
good deal with below inflation increases in rents in the past. It’s a win-win
situation for everyone although on a very personal note, it’s imperative in the
future that tenants are not thwarted from saving for a deposit by excessive
rental hikes – there has to be a balance.
For more thoughts and opinions on the Canterbury Property
Market, if you are a Canterbury Homeowner or Canterbury landlord, please visit
the Canterbury Property Blog www.canterburypropertyblog.com
.
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