If I were a buy to let landlord in Canterbury
today, I might feel a little bruised by the assault made on my wallet after being
(and continuing to be) ransacked over the last 12 months by HM Treasury’s tax
changes on buy to let. To add insult to injury, Brexit has caused a tempering
of the Canterbury property market with property prices not increasing by the
levels we have seen in the last few years. I think we might even see a very
slight drop in property prices this year and, if Canterbury property prices do
drop, the downside to that is that first time buyers could be attracted back into
the Canterbury property market; meaning less demand for renting (meaning rents
will go down). Yet, before we all run for the hills, all these things could be
serendipitous to every Canterbury landlord, almost a blessing in disguise.
Canterbury has a population of 47,941, so when
I looked at the number of people who lived in private rented accommodation, the
numbers astounded me …
Canterbury - Accommodation Type and
the Number of Occupiers
|
|||||
Owned
outright - Canterbury
|
Owned
with a mortgage - Canterbury
|
Shared
ownership (part owned and part rented) - Canterbury
|
Social
rented (aka Council Housing) - Canterbury
|
Private
rented - Canterbury
|
Living
rent free - Canterbury
|
9,340
|
10,977
|
484
|
9,512
|
16,951
|
677
|
19.5%
|
22.9%
|
1.0%
|
19.8%
|
35.4%
|
1.4%
|
Yields will rise if Canterbury property
prices fall, which will also make it easier to obtain a buy to let mortgage, as
the income would cover more of the interest cost. If property values were to level
off or come down that could help Canterbury landlords add to their portfolio. Rental
demand in Canterbury is expected to stay solid and may even see an improvement
if uncertainty is protracted. However, there is something even more important
that Canterbury landlords should be aware of: the change in the anthropological
nature of these 20 something potential first time buyers.
I have just come back from a visit to my
relations after a family get together. I got chatting with my nephew and his
partner. Both are in their mid/late
twenties, both have decent jobs in Canterbury and they rent. Yet, here was the
bombshell, they were planning to rent for the foreseeable future with no plans
to even save for a deposit, let alone buy a property. I enquired why they weren’t
planning to buy? The answers surprised me as a semi mature person, and it will
you. Firstly, they don’t want to put cash into property, they would rather
spend it on living and socialising by going on nice holidays and buying the
latest tech and gadgets. They want the flexibility to live where they choose
and finally, they don’t like the idea of paying for repairs. All their friends
feel the same. I was quite taken aback that buying a house is just not top of
the list for these youngsters.
So, as 35.4% of Canterbury
people are in rented accommodation and as that figure is set to grow over the
next decade, now might just be a good time to buy property in Canterbury –
because what else are you going to invest in? Give your money to the stock market run by sharp
suited city whizz kids – because at least with property – it’s something you
can touch - there is nothing like bricks and mortar!
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